The Global Picture
The last few years have seen a real boom in construction, but this survey suggests a slight slowdown, compared to previous quarters. This is certainly not a downturn, RICS refer to it simply as “decelerating growth across the industry”, adding that “twelve-month expectations for workloads are still positive across all sectors at the worldwide aggregate level”.
The survey measures not only project volumes or workloads, but also how people are feeling about the market. Known as the Construction Sentiment Index, this showed a dip globally, but with significant regional variation. For example, Asia Pacific went negative, from +11 to -5, whereas Europe actually increased, from +6 to +11 and Middle East and Africa are at +31.
The US is seeing a cooling in the pace of growth, and there’s negativity in Canada, probably linked to Trump’s stance on trade. China and Hong Kong are down too, reporting insufficient demand.
Twelve-month workload expectations, while still positive, have been trimmed across all sectors and geographical areas although infrastructure appears more resilient. The strongest growth globally is being seen in Middle East and Africa, with Asia Pacific struggling. The market impediments that are most commonly cited across the board are financial constraints, including changes in the lending climate, as well as materials costs, which the respondents predict will rise further and skill shortages